Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has converted an impressive 9.4 baskets per game this season, a big improvement over his 8.0 rate last season.
The Washington Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Atlanta is a good one for field goals; when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (8.2).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).

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