Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 18.8 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on their home court, opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (34.4%).
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has tallied a mere 29.8 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 34.4 minutes per game last season.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a hard one; when the Bucks are away from home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (12.9).
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to draw fouls.