Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 8, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma rates in the 94th percentile for shots, averaging 18.0 per game since the start of last season.
Kyle Kuzma has sunk 2.5 3-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Wizards rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a difficult one for threes; their opposition has posted the 6th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (33.7%).
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league when playing at home this year.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have totaled 1.4 3-pointers per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, designating this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
When playing on the road, the Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Charlotte is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Hornets are the visiting team (10th-least in the league).
Kyle Kuzma is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.