Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.9 shots per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma lands in the 95th percentile for 3-point attempts on the road, compiling 7.1 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma places in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.5 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season.
In regard to shooting, the Washington Wizards's superb 48.7% field goal percentage playing at home settles in as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has shot 47.9% on shots from the field (10th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 12th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (29.2%).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.