Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:33 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.5 shots per game over the last 15 games away from home, 3.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Kyle Kuzma has sunk 3.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while on the road.
Kyle Kuzma has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Cavaliers are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (21.0%).
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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