Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Kyle Kuzma has converted 3.3 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three overall this year when playing away from home.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Matisse Thybulle is a strong one for threes; when Thybulle is on his home court fellow starting SFs since the start of last season, they have made a whopping 55.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The matchup against Philadelphia is a tough one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (14.7).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production for all stats.

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