Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.9%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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