Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Kyle Kuzma has averaged 32.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing at home.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The matchup against Toronto is a tough one; when the Raptors are the visiting team, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (13.5).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the league).