Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has successfully made a whopping 8.1 baskets per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.4 mark last season.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The matchup against Josh Hart is a good one; he has allowed a massive 22.0 points per game while on his home court when facing fellow starting SFs since the start of last season (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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