Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 3.4 free throws per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Kyle Kuzma has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pistons may be a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted just 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when playing at home (3rd-least in the league).
The Washington Wizards have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (45.3%).
Kyle Kuzma will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.