Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 21.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 11.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Kyle Kuzma has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs.

Favors Under

The Spurs have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games at home (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Spurs may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 24.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
Kyle Kuzma will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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