Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 22.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 9.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Kyle Kuzma has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA while on the road this year.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games playing at home (8th-least in the NBA).
Kyle Kuzma will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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