Kyle Kuzma Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 5.0 clip, Kyle Kuzma's bricked threes have regressed this year to 4.3 per game.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Kyle Kuzma will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 30.5% on threes (7th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, creating a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).

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