Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has averaged 5.0 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this standard in recent games: 90th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.2 minutes per game this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Kyle Kuzma will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Washington Wizards will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have collected 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).

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