Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has posted 4.9 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch: 89th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game this year.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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