Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has tallied 4.8 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 89th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have grabbed 10.4 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Spurs (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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