Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has totaled 3.7 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch of games: 84th percentile.
Kyle Kuzma has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
The quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
At home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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