Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has totaled 5.2 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric recently: 91st percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The fastest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
Away from home, the Toronto Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma figures to see an increase in effectiveness across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Washington Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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