Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has compiled 3.4 assists per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
Kyle Kuzma has averaged a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.3 fouls per game last year.
The quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has tallied a lowly 28.8 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 34.4 minutes per game last year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 5thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While on the road, the Nets have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma should see a decline in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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