Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has put up 7.8 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.0 higher than he's put up overall this year at home.
Kyle Kuzma has played 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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