Kyle Kuzma Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has averaged 7.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
Kyle Kuzma has averaged 32.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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