Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 17 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have snagged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has put up a lowly 6.9 rebounds per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.4 rebounds per game last season.
Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis stands to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

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