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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/11/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled 6.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's compiled in all games this season.

Kristaps Porzingis has played 29.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The Celtics have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have secured 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

Kristaps Porzingis will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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