Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.
Kristaps Porzingis will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has posted a measly 5.1 defensive rebounds per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.7 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.2 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.
This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

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