Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added chances for offense).
Kristaps Porzingis will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled just 5.2 defensive boards per game this year, significantly less than his 6.7 defensive boards per game last year.
Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Boston Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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