Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis figures to see an increase in productivity across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled a mere 5.4 defensive boards per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.7 defensive boards per game last season.
Kristaps Porzingis has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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