Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has totaled a whopping 7.3 rebounds per game this season, significantly more than his 8.4 rebounds per game last season.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 5thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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