Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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