Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 7.4 defensive rebounds per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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