Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has put up 6.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 31.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to the other team this year while on the road (which can also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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