Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · May 14, 2025

Updated May 15, 2025 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled 17.2 points per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
The rate of field goals sunk against Karl-Anthony Towns has been quite high (58.2%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 93rd percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a whopping 4.7 foul shots per game this year.
Kristaps Porzingis will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 35.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.9% less than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
The Celtics will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest tempo visiting team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, totaling just 19.5 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. Karl-Anthony Towns is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game (17th percentile).