Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2025

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · May 7, 2025

Updated May 8, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has notched 17.6 points per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 2.2 threes per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The showdown with Karl-Anthony Towns slots into just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting an enormous 58.9% of their field goal attempts this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Boston Celtics.
As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Celtics's lackluster 19.6 foul shots per game rates worst in the NBA this year.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Karl-Anthony Towns has been remarkably low this year (2.1 free throws per game: 13th percentile).

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