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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 4/20/2025

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 19.5 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 90th percentile.

Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a strong one for 3-pointers; when Carter Jr. is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 42.9% of their three-point attempts (94th percentile).

The Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 19.1 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the worst in the league this year.

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