Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has scored 19.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 90th percentile.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 28.6 minutes per game at home this year.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Mark Williams has been remarkably high (3.2 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 2nd-best in in the league with 15.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Hornets have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Celtics's lackluster 19.3 free throws per game comes in as the worst in the league this year.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Mark Williams has been remarkably low this year (2.2 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 14th percentile).

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