Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 2.3 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 29.0 minutes per game at home this year.
The matchup vs. Oso Ighodaro is a strong one; he has allowed a whopping 17.1 points per game when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics.
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's feeble 19.5 foul shots per game rates worst in the league this year.

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