Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has made 58.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.4% more than he's made in all games this year while at home.
Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.
As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's superb 117.2 points per game places 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.
While away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Victor Wembanyama places in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 3.1 treys attempted against him per game this year.
The Celtics will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Celtics grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Victor Wembanyama has been very low this year (2.6 free throws per game: 20th percentile).

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