Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The faceoff with Kel'el Ware lands in the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs converting a whopping 43.8% of their three-point attempts this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league away from their home court with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Kristaps Porzingis has made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.2% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
When it comes to scoring, the Celtics's feeble 45.7% field goal percentage while playing on the road settles in as the 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.
The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game (23rd percentile).

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