Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has converted 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season at home.
When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 117.2 points per game rates 5th-most in the NBA this year.
While on the visiting team and defending fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 86th percentile with a monstrous 11.7 field goal attempts against him per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis comes in at the 93rd percentile for foul shots drained, putting up a whopping 4.0 per game this year.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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