Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has converted 56.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 16.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more possessions for the Celtics.
The Celtics check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 92nd percentile for getting to the charity stripe, logging a colossal 4.6 foul shots per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.2 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The clash with Alperen Sengun rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs averaging just 11.5 points per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.
In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team places 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The faceoff with Alperen Sengun in terms of drawing fouls places in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year.