Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 31, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 10:54 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a strong one; he has given up a monstrous 17.4 points per game when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jakob Poeltl has been very high (4.8 free throw attempts per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league as the home team this year.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Celtics's lackluster 18.8 foul shots per game as the home team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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