Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 10:05 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis comes in at the 88th percentile, compiling a monstrous 19.2 points per game this year.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 6.1 threes per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 92nd percentile for drawing fouls, putting up a monstrous 4.8 foul shot attempts per game at home this year.

Favors Under

The number of points compiled against Joel Embiid has been remarkably low (11.3 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the 76ers).
As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls while at home: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 18.5 foul shot attempts per game.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Joel Embiid has been very low this year (1.0 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 3rd percentile).

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