Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-fastest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Goga Bitadze has been remarkably high (4.2 foul shot attempts per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 3.2 clip, Kristaps Porzingis's bricked three-pointers have jumped this season to 4.2 per game.
Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).
In regard to three-pointers, the Boston Celtics's subpar 33.8% rate of drained threes places 10th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The number of field goals sunk against Goga Bitadze has been very low (4.3 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

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