Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has scored 19.2 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 88th percentile.
The Celtics rank as the highest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Celtics.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 94th percentile for foul shots drained, registering a massive 4.4 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.6 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a challenging one for scoring; when Allen is on his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have made just 5.0 field goals per game (11th percentile).
The Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production across the board.

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