Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 87th percentile, totaling an enormous 19.2 points per game since the start of last season.
Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile.
When it comes to offense, the Celtics's exceptional 119.9 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when Zubac is on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.7 3-point shots per game (92nd percentile).
Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 94th percentile for foul shots scored, registering a whopping 4.4 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
This matchup is a strong one for scoring; opposing teams have shot for the 27th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 18 games (45.5%).
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 4thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with only 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.