Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Jun 9, 2024

Updated Jun 9, 2024 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has played 28.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.
Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kristaps Porzingis ought to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted a lowly 12.9 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 15.7 rate last season.
Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 9thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 10.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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