Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 6/6/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Jun 6, 2024

Updated Jun 7, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has converted 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 28.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Kristaps Porzingis stands to get a boost in productivity across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted a measly 12.9 shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 15.7 rate last year.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Relative to last season's 6.4 rate, Kristaps Porzingis's number of free throws has dropped this season to 5.2 free throws per game.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 5th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 19.7 free throw attempts per game.

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