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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 90th percentile, logging a monstrous 19.8 points per game this year.

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Kristaps Porzingis has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The rate of shots converted against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (62.0%) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying a mere 16.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Kristaps Porzingis stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

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