Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Apr 24, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 55.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year playing at home.
Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 28.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
While away from his home court and defending other starting Cs, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.2 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis should get a boost in output across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made a mere 4.5 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.5 rate last season.
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 16.4 foul shot attempts per game settles in as the worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.