Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has converted 56.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 12.8% higher than he's made from three overall this season playing at home.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 28.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The faceoff with Isaiah Hartenstein lands in the 100th percentile with the opposition's starting Cs burying a massive 49.3% of their three-point attempts this year when they are on their home court.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Kristaps Porzingis will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted a measly 13.2 shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 15.7 rate last year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.
The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Celtics.
Compared to last season's 6.4 mark, Kristaps Porzingis's number of foul shot attempts has regressed this season to 5.4 foul shot attempts per game.
As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying a mere 13.2 foul shot attempts per game.