Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-140/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
When facing opposing starting Cs, Clint Capela has been in the 3rd percentile with a mere 1.1 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year.
The 4th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis figures to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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